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My opinion on Iran's regime stability right now

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Posted by @Unknown Stranger

The IRGC (Iran's powerful military guards) still controls the army, weapons, and security very strongly. They didn't lose everything in the attacks.

But Khamenei's death made a big power vacuum no clear strong leader at the top anymore.

This can cause problems like:

More fights inside the government (different groups want power).

Bigger protests from people who hate the regime (some are already happy he's gone). Or the IRGC might take full control like a military government (many experts think this is likely, and it could make things even harder and more aggressive).

Right now, they made a small temporary council (with the president, a judge, and one cleric) to run things for a short time. They say a new supreme leader could come in 1-2 days or soon.

But honestly, it's very unstable. The regime is hurt bad, but not dead yet. The IRGC probably holds it together for now no full collapse or big chaos inside yet, but the risk is high if war keeps going or people rise up more.

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